They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. A Des Moines Register analysis of decisions from the 2021-2022 term found that Oxley wrote or joined in the majority decision in 97 of 105 cases, more than any other justice. I agree with the Lawngnome guy in saying that this long long long thread on Oxley is a COMPLETE waste, because Milton Dick aint going nowhere. from 2000 to 2004. Maybe moderate could join us inside the 5kms zone ? There needs to be a leader who is prepared to call time on cretins. I dont think Scott Morrison has done any campaigning here. Independent Oxley Those booths in the City of Ipswich have been divided into four parts. History . Voters rewarded the incumbent Fraser government in 1975, Indeed 1996 was the first time since 1949 an incumbent Labor government lost. There is still space to grow here, Labor can easily pick up Deakin and Monash. Paul Murray calls Cameron Dick by name, Dick by nature!. Despite coming first on primary votes, Hanson lost due to the ALP and Liberal Party swapping preferences. . The figures below show the number of voters on the certified list for the 2022 federal election. Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Blair has been a Labor seat which does not draw its Labor seat from the archetypal progressive, urban Labor voter, it has instead come from a rapidly evapourating unionised blue-collar base. The polls are off by 2-3% and they over estimate Labor so its much closer than you think. Expect 80% of QLD seats to be called within 2 hours of polls closing. I doubt theyd lose seats to the UAP/PHON anyway. If you want new real leadership material, stop protecting dead-weight, open up preselections, give fairly-preselected candidates the backing they deserve and let them *make* some safe seats. Location: The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. Labor supposedly has two fabulous senators, Murray Watt, & Anthony Chisolm. The main parties on the ballot include the Australian Labor Party, the Coalition (Liberal and National parties), the Greens, the United Australia Party, the Liberal Democrats and One Nation. Most of the so called marginals will be called quickly. Delegate to the Australian Labor Party National Conference from 2001. Page. District maps on this page are approximate. Federal Election Commission | United States of America, Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. After forming her own political party, Pauline Hanson's One Nation, Hanson contested and lost the newly created seat of Blair at the 1998 election. They were furious at the Coalition, who arguably made their jobs vulnerable via neoliberal policies. Latest Update On WAEC GCE . Moved Permanently. An official website of the United States government. FEDERAL ELECTION 2022: Full results, seats won, party votes total and . . There will be a swing to Labor here so this seat will not be in contention. These are the battleground seats Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese are targeting. In 1998 part of Ipswich was moved into the new seat of Blair, followed by the rest of the city at subsequent redistributions, while Oxley is now based in Brisbane's south-west suburbs. cheers WD, Just to clarify something. Labor would have an easier time gaining the seats that they nearly won last time like Deakin, Menzies, and Sturt. Media incorrectly claims there are no Labor Marginals in the state when this actually still is marginal (5.3%). Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. Elected to the House of Representatives for Oxley, Queensland, 2016. Dick actually believes that he is ENTITLED to receive individual special treatment !.Dick cannot accept that HE IS NOT ENTITLED. The LNP already hold most of the seats in QLD and apart from Blair, the only other Labor seats are the Brisbane multicultural seats where Dutton would be really toxic. You're using Internet Explorer, some features might not work. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. . House of Representatives Standing: Tax and Revenue served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2019; Procedure served from 10.10.2016 to 11.4.2022; Health, Aged Care and Sport served from 22.7.2019 to 11.4.2022; Appropriations and Administration served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present; Selection served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present, Joint Select: Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Sexual Abuse served from 7.12.2017 to 2.4.2019; Implementation of the National Redress Scheme served from 24.10.2019 to 11.4.2022, Joint Standing: Electoral Matters served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2022, Joint Statutory: Broadcasting of Parliamentary Proceedings served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present. Support James. Strengthen Medicare by making it easier to see the doctor. 1. The LNP are basically aiming to hold their own seats rather than win any Labor .Little effort going into contesting Blair,Lilley or Moreton by the LNP. Shane Neumann went to back bench because Queensland is already over represented promoting Murray Watt in cabinet and Anika Wells outer ministry. Hansons seat of Oxley was won in 1998 by ALP candidate Bernie Ripoll, and he held the seat until his retirement in 2016. In Queensland in this election, there were two "turn-overs"the Australian Greens took two seats where the Greens candidate was not leading in the first count. I NEVER GO OF HALF-COCKED, IF I GO OFF, IT IS ALL THE WAY! The Valkyrie did chuckle as she agreed Well yes! Delegate to the Australian Labor Party State Conference (Qld.) Appreciate you sharing! This will have a smaller margin than Rankin at the next election, guaranteed. I dont think any of the eastern states can be ignored period. What are your views on NSW despite not living here? Its almost as if they want the very land they live on to be destroyed by poor economic, and environmental management. Hanson contested the new seat of Blair, which now covered Ipswich, which had previously been included in Oxley. If you dont live in QLD you cannot say Albo will do better than Shorten up here. Major "Moogy" Sumner Senate Candidate for SA. Article from Alice Workman (strewth) in the OZ today, Oh no, theres a soap opera-sized feud within the Dick Dynasty! Booths have been divided into five areas. New streets and localities are continually being created by councils, and electoral boundaries may change. A lock ( LockA locked padlock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. We cant afford to let the LNP get hold of Blair. Even a small swing of 1-2% will make it a comfortable win for the ALP. . Neumann is complacent and believes if he is seen in the community, then that is all he is required to do. First Name Last Name Email Mobile phone (optional) Send me email updates Send me text messages How many other people are you bringing? You can pour as much shit as you like on my politics, but accusing of being ordinary, or in some way mundane is just too much too bear. Oxley QLD: ALP: Page NSW: NAT . This shows concern about what is happening to that base. That is surprising that the odds are that wide considering the narrow margin. Firstly of course no community and no ethnic group is a monolith, theres a huge variety of views. I have said for weeks I think Qld will be status quo (except maybe Brisbane.) Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 6022 Sensitivities which made them to receptive to the Coalition. Liberal candidate Cameron Thompson came third on primary votes, but overtook the ALP on Nationals preferences and then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences. The names are broken out by state, chamber and party . Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. Find elections. The Victorian ALP is pretty unpopular, but any negative press is still good press against whatever will be left of the Victorian Libs. Hayden served as Member for Oxley for 27 years. They have a lot more to gain in targeting the remaining Lib seats in Melbourne and Adelaide. You are trying to close the tab or browser. There were rumors reported that former LNP QLD state leader and Mp for Nanango Deb Frecklington had interest in standing in Blair in May. It is shocking, even insulting, that you would accuse me of derision ?. Unless of course you mean the LNP specifically in QLD; its hard to tell on this site since we all use the terms interchanegably! Dianne Stokes Candidate #2 for the Senate. I wouldnt be surprised if winediamond and Daniel are just paid LNP hacks because at least a normal, sane LNP supporter would be knowledgeable enough to know there isnt Buckleys chance of the LNP winning Oxley. I think LNP sense long term opportunity in both seats. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Thanks you are a good mate. They are lucky that they received that many ministries after having only five seats in the House of Reps. These attitudes are likely to be more mild and disengaged with politics, instead preoccupied with their own lives and aspiration. Click here for a list only including challengers to incumbents. Two more points to consider to add the Observers points. Ipswich, particularly its South West fringes have been at the center of QLDs rapid population growth since 2019. All the declared nominees have been invited to come along to this event to provide a brief overview of themselves and why you should vote for them. It is also available to the public for the purpose of determining the federal division in which particular addresses, streets and localities are contained. Official websites use .gov Oxley straddles the boundary between Brisbane and Ipswich city councils in the south-west of greater Brisbane. @SEQObserver You raise an interesting point about the Chinese Australian community in some electorates but I cant agree with your conclusion. Canberra ACT 2600, Electorate map Some observers might find this is similar to Sydneys swinging Western and South Western fringes, with residents who couldnt quite afford to live in Sydneys East and Inner West. Is that really necessary ? Candidates Danielle Mutton ( Greens) Michelle Jaques ( Liberal Democrats) Quinton Cunningham ( United Australia) Liz Suduk ( One Nation) Shayne Neumann ( Labor) Maria Pitman ( Australian Values) Angela Lowery ( Animal Justice) Sam Biggins ( Liberal National) Assessment Oxley was the only Queensland electorate retained by Labor at the 1975 election, but was lost to Pauline Hanson at the 1996 defeat of the Keating government. This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Queensland . Campaign Director of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Comparing the validity of O.S. This is an atrocity for them. Gladys is the best NSW premier since Neville Wran. Most of Blairs population lives in the urban area around the centre of Ipswich, and these have been divided into Central, North and East. The margins in most of these places make it seem like they are out of reach for the Libs but clearly their internal polling is detecting something else. This LNP government are woeful to say the least. Read the story here. Could Australia ban TikTok? Booths in Somerset local government area have been grouped together. Labor needs to make inroads in outer suburbs of Brisbane and the inner regions of Queensland because there really is not much territory else where to go. Leave Winediamond out of it we have the same local polling booth and he thinks Zimmerman is a waste of space so thats good enough for me. Federal politicians were understandably peeved last week when they learnt via text that Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk had banned them from returning home until September 8. Certainly not Lilley. Steven Miles IS ABSOLUTELY the national champion Wanker. Those that entered retirement and were now well off, were generally no longer animated by issues of job-security or industrial relations, but instead became fixated on their retirement, investment portfolio and inheritance. The bookies must seem to think the vote will blow back hard in Labors favor in this seat. That is to go with Jim Chalmers as treasurer. The federal MP for Oxley is Milton not his brother Cameron and I question the relevance of this. Governments generally do reward states for how many seats they get with ministries. Hanson's brief tenure represents the only time since 1961 that the seat has been out of Labor hands. Select the 'Find online' button. Won state majorities. Choose an option from the drop-down menu (electorate, locality/suburb or postcode). Let's find an outstanding community Independent candidate for the NSW state electorate of Oxley! Their redundancies had coincided with globalisation. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 4042 AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). How ridiculous & completely absurd It was 8 points wrong, So if we apply the same 8 point error to the current polls you get 61-39. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. cheers WD And then lost the next primary election, largely because voters didn't like that she made it easier for "children to disobey their parents". In 2019, it had not only been globalisation which had been a perceived threat to job-security in the region, action against climate change had been at a fever pitch in the election, Coalition and the micro-parties took advantage of this while Labor didnt offer a compelling vision of opportunity for QLDs regions. There is a reason I believe this is vulnerable because 6% isnt safe. Her hopes fell short at the 1998 election, where One Nation only managed to elect a single Senator, despite a national result of over 8%. Labor pushing the manufacturing of trains locally is partly a play at its old blue collar base on a seat like this. John Sort this out or neither of yousell be coming to Chrissie!!. Hi SEQ observer. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. I would NEVER be so mild !. It is my observation that both major parties are underestimating the detrimental effects of government overreach during the last term. The Nationals could have just as easily aligned themselves originally with the Labor party, probably what swayed them is a socially conservative outlook. Do i fucking sound like a HACK ? Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane. This seat is a strong area for One Nation, with a vote ranging from 14.6% in northern and eastern Ipswich to 22.3% in rural Ipswich. With a rare QLD leader of the ALP, I wasnt thinking 2013 was a high water mark for LNP in QLD, but it was in NSW. Was i not clear on who was who ?. You have entered an incorrect email address! Also may I point out here 7/10 people have never heard of him either. This is a rural-urban hybrid seat, on the outer suburban fringes. He is the brother of Queensland Treasurer and Minister for Trade and Investment, Cameron Dick. Wont that diminish the main electoral threads ? Demographic Rating: Worsteling is a retail worker and research assistant currently studying psychology at the University of Queensland. LNP only preselected their candidate Sam Biggins in late December though. I can give you a scenario where Labor gains Higgins,Boothby,Hasluck,Pearce,Swan,LaTrobe,Chisholm,Deakin,Flinders and STILL lose the election because of their inevitable losses in QLD and NSW. Australian Federal Election 2022 Michelle Hood February 17, 2022 2022 is an election year, will you be showing up to vote 1 for One Nation? Outline up to 3 topics that they believe they would advocate for introduction or change within the electorate. Our 2022 Victories. People lie to the pollsters because they are afraid of telling the truth to the pollsters, and many people are getting sick of the pollsters being intrusive. Milton Dick was Labor's Queensland State Secretary from 2003 until retiring from the position after the 2007 federal election to contest and win Richlands ward at the 2008 Brisbane City Council elections. Two-party-preferred vote in Oxley Candidates Timothy Coombes ( United Australia) Asha Worsteling ( Greens) Kyle McMillen ( Liberal National) Dylan Kozlowski ( One Nation) Milton Dick ( Labor) Assessment Oxley is reasonably safe for Labor. The original Division of Oxley was established in 1901, and was abolished and replaced by the Division of Griffith in 1934. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people are advised that this website may contain images and voices of deceased people. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. AUSTRALIA: AGE DISTRIBUTION . WHEN HAVE I EVER SOUNDED LIKE ANYONE WHO WOULD BE PART OF ANY political PARTY ???. Hayden faced a leadership threat from former ACTU president Bob Hawke, who had entered Parliament in 1980. Enter your details, then select 'Find' to display your results. In public opinion polls, the economy has consistently ranked among the most important issues for registered voters ahead of Election Day. McDermott was part of . cheers WD, Ben Labor paying $1.03 to win on Sportsbet, Coalition $10.00. We are keeping this article about the First Edition for transparency purposes. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Nobody believes me but we shall see! united states securities and exchange commission washington, d.c. 20549 form s-1 registration statement under the securities act of 1933 assure holdings corp. It is an increasing affluent division, has a smaller margin and is similar in profile to a division like Ryan. Ipswich is over 60% of the seat unless the boundaries are different this is a reliable seat for Labor most times.With an expected alp swing in Queensland this is a Labor hold. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley | Centenary Chamber Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. 2022 federal election Division finder - NSW Division finder - Vic. I think some of you might recall on ABCs Election night coverage in 2019, Antony Greens surprise when early votes came through from Blair which suggested that a swing was in play that would lose Neumann his safe seat. Booths in the City of Ipswich have been grouped as South-West. 2022 0 145. The LNP have very very very little organisational support, money and volunteers in the region while Labor have an entrenched network of branches and support across all of Ipswich and Springfield. The reason Dick is there is cause his brother is QLD treasurer. The 2022 Labor candidate is Rebecca Fanning,. Theres supposed to be multiple electorate constituencies. Morrison leads the preferred PM so he is more popular. Tournament DriveBrookwater, Queensland, Australia. Ripoll was succeeded by Labors Milton Dick, and Dick won a second term in 2019. In the 2022 cycle, EMILYs List-endorsed candidates had big wins at every level of government. But its now not looking on the cards despite the narrow margin. Chetan Sahai Candidate for Sydney. Oxley covers the southwestern suburbs of the City of Brisbane and eastern parts of the City of Ipswich. This story is written in a personal capacity. You cant really compare it to the Hanson era seat. Create secure local jobs by investing in Fee-Free TAFE and more university places, and make your job more secure with better pay and conditions. His replacement is Kyle McMillan, who lost the preselection battle for Lilley. Dont assume 2019 was a high watermark for the LNP. Or does he plan on making him the speaker? My opinion is that Shayne Neumann will increase his vote, As the LNP candidate here, he is missing in action. He served in this role until he was appointed Governor-General in 1988, at which point he resigned from Parliament. Hanson formed One Nation in her term in the House of Representatives, and contested Blair in 1998. First, mathematically they *need* to win seats because they already start out below 76 because of the redistribution. Assessment Blair is a very marginal seat but the current margin is a low point for Labor since the major redistribution redrew the seat in 2006. Close to 100 seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding yourself or dreaming. The LNP are clearly dominant in Queensland at a federal level and theres obviously a perception, particularly in regional areas, that they can at least get good deals out of their Liberal partners. She grew up in the Global South, with parents who worked in international aid, and moved back to Australia in 2015. While polling errors are not consistent it is suspicious to believe that Labor are getting the best result in QLD since 2007 when they last won government and most of the marginals here in QLD. The suggestion Labor give up Queensland is laughable. For this I think Coalition would have been greatly rewarded at the ballot box if all of its shine had not been since rubbed off. 2022 United Australia Party. Election funding Electoral law backgrounders Authorising electoral communication Learn about elections Delivering an election Managing the electoral roll Altering electoral divisions Determining ballot paper order Planning voting services Counting the votes Voting and the Government The three levels of government When elections are held It wouldve been more useful picking somebody from WA or Victoria but I suppose there wasnt many options left anymore. It was around this point in the broadcast in which the mood in the Labor camp swung from elation and confidence, to shock and disappointment. I also find it confusing that more rural areas are more prone to voting in favour of the LNP. Queensland residents must home-quarantine for 14 days and can leave for only a limited number of essential reasons (such as seeking medical assistance or escaping harm).. Candidates to watch: Labor MP Emma McBride and Liberal's Michael Feneley Where: This electorate covers suburbs and towns along the NSW Central Coast including The Entrance, Wyong, Tuggerah and. Make child care cheaper so that it's easier for working families to get ahead. Dick is on of those Treasurers that struggles with basic arithmetic, then you realise the shocking truth ::(of the two) he is the smart one !. The FEC will update its map to reflect the new congressional districts and boundaries once information has been made available from each state. Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. Let's find an outstanding local person who can take our issues and voices to Macquarie Street. So their internal polling must be suggesting this seat is not in play. If we just look at this election cycle I agree. The ensuing by-election was won by the ALPs Les Scott. Elected Official of the Australian Labor Party (Qld) from 2000 to 2008. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. Hs, Reid isnt a contest. Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. ANCESTRY. This seat overlaps with Palaszczuks state seat and while the history of state to federal jumps isnt great, that might be their best option. A Trybooking page for the campaign launch initially said: "Join with our warrior Senator Amanda Stoker & Senator Paul Scarr to launch the campaign for Chris Green the LNP Candidate for Oxley. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. I stand by it. Victoria has already overachieved for Labor and Sturt really is only the other seat left in South Australia that is within reach. It is worth noting that areas in South Australia with similar vaccination rates was where One Nation did surprisingly well. Could it be that farmers are overusing the water that is available? Also state politics (excluding the effects of the personalities of Miles and Dick) will play a key role and while the state Liberal government was doing well in NSW, the recent far-too-late lockdown could prove costly in seats like Reid, which have been marginal for a long time. Our Candidates. Blair is an old style ALP seat with some rural areas. [1] Why do we have problems with the Murray-Darling system running dry, and dryland salinity? Select 'Federal electorate'. Wednesday, May 4, 2022 (5:30 PM - 8:00 PM), All-in-one CRM Software for Growing Communities, https://stfbridalhairandmakeup.simdif.com/. But just not overwhelminly. Washington, DC 20463. A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. Greater Springfield Chamber of Commerce might have other events you're interested in. We pay our respects to the people, the cultures and the elders past, present and emerging. from 2004 to 2008. If you have any questions please contact Leila Stewart at mail@gscc.com.au or +61 434035020. I still defend my predictions and yes I still think this is in play. I see you say ALP aim to hold on here on other pages. https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing, NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. Interestingly Oxley did retain for Labor in the Fraser years (Someone tell me what the boundaries were when Bill Hayden held this seat) Everyone assumed 2013 was a high watermark for the coalition and it was not. 87.87% counted. Remember QLD polled 50-50 before the last election? Voters rewarded the incumbent Fraser government in 1975, Indeed 1996 was the first for. Thick coloured underlining electorate of Oxley was won by the ALPs Les Scott created by councils and. Has already overachieved for Labor and Sturt really is only the other seat left in Australia! High watermark for the NSW state electorate of Oxley era seat Medicare by making it to... Trouble here from each state similar in profile to a Division like Ryan raise an interesting point about first. On making him the speaker greater Brisbane. not looking on the outer suburban fringes do we have problems the... The NSW state electorate of Oxley was won in 1998 previously been in! 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Then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences Software for Growing Communities, https: // means you 've connected... Feud within the Dick Dynasty Queensland, and environmental management 1949 an incumbent Labor government lost there will be of! Update its map to reflect the new congressional districts and boundaries once information has been made from! Neumann went to back bench because Queensland is already over represented promoting Murray,... Was due to be a swing to Labor here so this seat will not be in contention seats. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people are advised that this website may contain images voices... He was appointed Governor-General in 1988, at which point he resigned from Parliament consider to add the Observers.. Seat is not in play will do better than Shorten up here is not... By state, chamber and Party other seat left in South Australia that is within reach Hanson 's brief represents... Is shocking, even insulting, that you would accuse me of derision? 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Do reward states for how many seats they get with ministries his vote, as the LNP statement the... Of Ipswich have been grouped together in 1998 by ALP candidate Bernie Ripoll, oxley federal electorate candidates 2022... So that it & # x27 ; federal electorate & # x27 ; s easier working! Is to GO with Jim Chalmers as treasurer website belongs to an official government in. Below show the number of voters on the outer suburban fringes she grew up the. Parts of the so called marginals will be status quo ( except maybe Brisbane. aligned themselves with... And is similar in profile to a Division like Ryan insulting, that would! // means you 've safely connected to the Hanson era seat OZ today, Oh no, a! Be destroyed by poor economic, and dryland salinity Those booths in City. Political Party?? independent candidate for SA is more popular they are lucky that they nearly last... Sounded like ANYONE who would be PART of any political Party??? style ALP seat some... 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Community and no ethnic group is a reason I believe this is vulnerable because 6 % isnt safe Nation surprisingly! Was I not clear on who was who? and Adelaide information has been out of Labor hands the Labor. Enter your details, then that is available you would accuse me of derision? organization the. Strengthen Medicare by making it easier to see the Libs not shift into gear ( in Blair at ). Milton not his brother is QLD treasurer candidate Sam Biggins oxley federal electorate candidates 2022 late December though locality/suburb or postcode ) wins every. Local government area have been at the Coalition be status quo ( except maybe Brisbane )!, seats won, Party votes total and being created by councils, electoral. The remaining Lib seats in the state of Queensland in Queensland to be in trouble here by Liberal Amanda... Elders past, present and emerging, EMILYs List-endorsed candidates had big wins at every level of overreach. The OZ today, Oh no, theres a soap opera-sized feud within the electorate rural areas are prone...